Methodology
No predictions, no indicators soup, no gut feel. Argonauts tracks one thing — when an asset's trend flips — across every major market, and is honest about the odds of every setup it shows.
Every asset gets a single trend line — the Money Line — that adapts to that asset's own volatility. Price above the line: the trend is bull. A candle closing below it: the trend flips bear (and vice versa). The line's current value is always shown — it's the exact price where the trend would change, so you always know your line in the sand before you enter.
Signals come from closed candles only. A forming bar can wobble across the line all day without triggering anything — so a signal, once shown, never repaints or disappears. What you see at candle close is what the record keeps.
The same line runs on two clocks. The daily is the early warning — it flips first, catches more moves, and produces more noise. The weekly is the regime — slower, harder to flip, and the one that defines whether an asset is in an uptrend at all. They routinely disagree, and that disagreement is information: a daily bull flip inside a weekly bear regime is a bounce until proven otherwise.
A buy signal is the alignment: weekly AND daily both bull. It ends — and the paper ledger exits — the moment either one closes bear. That daily flip level is your stop, published on every signal.
Not all aligned signals are equal, so each one carries a 0–100 conviction score built strictly from factors we backtested — never from opinion. How far price has run above the exit level (entries near the line historically won ~60%; chasing +25% won 0 of 11), whether Bitcoin's own regime is behind an altcoin (against a falling BTC, alt entries won ~1 in 11), how the method has historically performed on that specific asset, and whether market breadth is collapsing. Hover any score to see exactly which factors moved it and by how much — the number is auditable, not an oracle.
The same stats power the warnings on every signal ("late — risk 12%", "BTC daily bear"): Argonauts tells you when its own signal has historically been a bad bet. A tool that only ever says "buy" is marketing; this one argues with itself.
Argonauts paper-trades every buy signal automatically — entries and exits stamped at scan time from closed candles, flat $1,000 stake per trade, losers included, nothing ever backdated or edited. The full ledger is public on the track record page, and every scan passes a data-quality gate before it can touch that record (see the status page) — a broken data feed pages the operator instead of corrupting the ledger.
It's not a prediction engine and not financial advice — it's a disciplined, transparent way to see trend changes across ~200 assets the moment they confirm, with honest odds attached. The exact construction and parameters of the Money Line are the product and aren't published; everything else — the rules, the record, the odds — is open on these pages. Past performance doesn't guarantee anything.